[Weekly Brief] Jan 2026 - W1: Rising Spot, Rising Volatility
When both price and volatility rise, it creates a unique environment for quantitative traders. While the crowd focuses on "How high will BTC go?", we focus on "How long will this positive correlation anomaly last?"
Performance Summary
- Period: Dec 27, 2025 (Sat) ~ Jan 02, 2026 (Fri)
- Duration: 7 Days
- Weekly Return: +2.90% (vs BTC +2.62%)
- Alpha (vs BTC spot): +0.28%
- Cumulative Return: +5.55% (vs BTC -3.20%, since Nov 29, 2025)
Alpha Analysis
- Profit Contribution: The portfolio's realized gains were primarily driven by Options (~98%), with Perpetual Futures contributing the remaining ~2%
- Strategy Robustness: Amidst a dual rally of price and volatility, the system successfully captured expanding premiums to generate positive (+) Alpha, demonstrating a structural edge that thrives on market inefficiency rather than just direction.
Market Context
- Correlation Shift "A Rare Regime: Positive Correlation"
- Spot-Vol Correlation (+0.81): A sharp deviation from the norm. Volatility is expanding alongside price, indicating a "Panic Buying" regime.
The Process
- System Upgrade: We successfully deployed the 'Correlation Regime Detection' and 'SlideTheta' logic. These modules allowed the system to dynamically optimize position sizing and exit timing.
About the Report
- Philosophy: Gauss Technology does not rely on directional prediction or speculation. We focus strictly on monetizing market inefficiencies and structural volatility.
- Instruments: BTC spot, perpetual, and options on the OKX exchange.
- Data Standards: All performance metrics represent Net Realized PnL, calculated after deducting all transaction fees and slippage.
- Membership Access: This public report displays percentage returns only. Absolute pnl ($) and detailed execution analysis will be available exclusively in the upcoming Partner Tier.
- Evolution with AI: Decisions are driven by Human-AI collaboration. Therefore, as AI advance, Gauss Technology’s capabilities grow stronger.
- Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.